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  1. Abstract

    Paleoclimate reconstructions of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) behavior often rely on oxygen isotopic records from tropical corals (δ18O). However, few reef‐based observations of physical conditions during El Niño events exist, limiting our ability to interpret coralδ18O. Here we present physical and geochemical measurements from Palmyra Atoll (5.9°N, 162.1°W) from 2014–2017, along with a data assimilation product using the isotope‐enabled Regional Ocean Modeling System (isoROMS). Coralδ18O signals are comparably strong in 2014–2015 and 2015–2016; notably, over 50% of the signal is driven by seawaterδ18O, not temperature. If a constant seawaterδ18O:salinity relationship were present, this would imply a comparable salinity anomaly during both events. However, salinity changes are much larger during 2014–2015, indicating a highly nonstationary relationship. isoROMS then shows that advection strongly influencesδ18O during both the 2014–2015 and 2015–2016 El Niño, driving differences in the salinity/seawaterδ18O relationship. This demonstrates the need for considering ocean dynamics when interpreting coralδ18O.

     
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  2. Abstract

    Cloud and convective parameterizations strongly influence uncertainties in equilibrium climate sensitivity. We provide a proof‐of‐concept study to constrain these parameterizations in a perturbed parameter ensemble of the atmosphere‐only version of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies Model E2.1 simulations by evaluating model biases in the present‐day runs using multiple satellite climatologies and by comparing simulated δ18O of precipitation (δ18Op), known to be sensitive to parameterization schemes, with a global database of speleothem δ18O records covering the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), mid‐Holocene (MH) and pre‐industrial (PI) periods. Relative to modern interannual variability, paleoclimate simulations show greater sensitivity to parameter changes, allowing for an evaluation of model uncertainties over a broader range of climate forcing and the identification of parts of the world that are parameter sensitive. Certain simulations reproduced absolute δ18Opvalues across all time periods, along with LGM and MH δ18Opanomalies relative to the PI, better than the default parameterization. No single set of parameterizations worked well in all climate states, likely due to the non‐stationarity of cloud feedbacks under varying boundary conditions. Future work that involves varying multiple parameter sets simultaneously with coupled ocean feedbacks will likely provide improved constraints on cloud and convective parameterizations.

     
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  3. Abstract

    Explosive volcanic eruptions are one of the largest natural climate perturbations, but few observational constraints exist on either the climate responses to eruptions or the properties (size, hemispheric aerosol distribution, etc.) of the eruptions themselves. Paleoclimate records are thus important sources of information on past eruptions, often through the measurement of oxygen isotopic ratios (δ18O) in natural archives. However, since many processes affectδ18O, the dynamical interpretation of these records can be quite complex. Here we present results from new, isotope‐enabled members of the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble, documenting eruption‐inducedδ18O variations throughout the climate system. Eruptions create significant perturbations in theδ18O of precipitation and soil moisture in central/eastern North America, via excitation of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Monsoon Asia and Australia also exhibit strong precipitation and soilδ18O anomalies; in these cases,δ18O may reflect changes to El Niño‐Southern Oscillation phase following eruptions. Salinity and seawaterδ18O patterns demonstrate the importance of both local hydrologic shifts and the phasing of the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation response, both along the equator and in the subtropics. In all cases, the responses are highly sensitive to eruption latitude, which points to the utility of isotopic records in constraining aerosol distribution patterns associated with past eruptions. This is most effective using precipitationδ18O; all Southern eruptions and the majority (66%) of Northern eruptions can be correctly identified. This work thus serves as a starting point for new, quantitative uses of isotopic records for understanding volcanic impacts on climate.

     
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  4. Abstract

    Because of the pervasive role of water in the Earth system, the relative abundances of stable isotopologues of water are valuable for understanding atmospheric, oceanic, and biospheric processes, and for interpreting paleoclimate proxy reconstructions. Isotopologues are transported by both large‐scale and turbulent flows, and the ratio of heavy to light isotopologues changes due to fractionation that can accompany condensation and evaporation processes. Correctly predicting the isotopic distributions requires resolving the relationships between large‐scale ocean and atmospheric circulation and smaller‐scale hydrological processes, which can be accomplished within a coupled climate modeling framework. Here we present the water isotope‐enabled version of the Community Earth System Model version 1 (iCESM1), which simulates global variations in water isotopic ratios in the atmosphere, land, ocean, and sea ice. In a transient Last Millennium simulation covering the 850–2005 period, iCESM1 correctly captures the late‐twentieth‐century structure of δ18O and δD over the global oceans, with more limited accuracy over land. The relationship between salinity and seawater δ18O is also well represented over the observational period, including interbasin variations. We illustrate the utility of coupled, isotope‐enabled simulations using both Last Millennium simulations and freshwater hosing experiments with iCESM1. Closing the isotopic mass balance between all components of the coupled model provides new confidence in the underlying depiction of the water cycle in CESM, while also highlighting areas where the underlying hydrologic balance can be improved. The iCESM1 is poised to be a vital community resource for ongoing model development with both modern and paleoclimate applications.

     
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